Events for 05/12/2016 from all calendars

Applied Math Seminar

Time: 2:00PM - 3:00PM

Location: BLOC 628

Speaker: Dr. Edy Soewono, Center for Mathematical Modeling and Simulation, Institut Teknol

Title: Analysis of the Mobility and Delay of Pregnancy on a Transmission Model for Zika Disease

Abstract: Zika virus transmission is known as vector-borne disease and mainly spread by Aedes type of mosquitoes, the same type of mosquitoes responsible for transmitting dengue, chikungunya and yellow fever. Although the disease only causes simple fever and skin rash among adults, it is considered as dangerous disease since the virus is associated with the increasing evidence of microcephaly among infants from mothers who were infected with Zika virus during early pregnancy. In respond to the Zika emerging disease, recently public health authorities in several countries have announced travel advisory and delay of pregnancy in order to control the spread of the disease. From mathematical point of view, the basic model of Zika transmission can be well formulated from the Host-Vector type model. It is the role of the mathematical model to investigate the consequences of several possible scenarios of strategy and intervention and to come up with sound interpretation and analysis even before the start of the outbreak. Here we model a transmission of Zika disease with mobility and separation of pregnant women and infected infants. Analytical and numerical results are shown for various scenarios of mobility and delay of pregnancy